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·21 September 2024
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·21 September 2024
Ryan Deeney previews Sunderland v Middlesbrough in the EFL Championship
Jarrod Bowen has had a fine start to the season for the Hammers and he's registered at least one shot on target in his last three Premier League starts, and six in his last four games when you include the League Cup.
On Saturday West Ham host Chelsea, and Bowen will once again be among the chief threats for the hosts. If you fancy he'll register at least one short on target against the Blues then you can back him at the super-boosted price of 1/1, from 1/2.
To take advantage of the Superboost, just click on the odds in the below banner to go directly to the pre-loaded betslip.
The EFL's early Saturday showing live on Sky Sports sees Regis Le Bris' Sunderland host local rivals Middlesbrough at the Stadium of Light in what could be a corker of a game.
While Sunderland have taken the early advantage in the league table - four wins to Boro's two - both managers will be satisfied with the quality of the performances their side are producing.
The hosts have seen less of the ball than in previous seasons but 12 goals in five matches has helped them to second spot at this embryonic stage while their non-penalty xG against numbers are only bettered by Leeds United.
Boro, meanwhile, have conceded fewer shots than any other team in the division while sitting top of the xG chart. Only an inability to take their chances has cost them early doors, something they will hope to rectify starting on Saturday.
One of the gripes people have about 12:30pm kick-off slot allocated to the EFL is that the slot is more likely to produce drab matches. None of the five games have seen more than two goals scored to date which doesn't help.
But records are made to be broken, right? And both of these sides have the attacking qualities to end that record.
It's a game between two sides who will be able to set up in a way that suits them. Boro want to dominate the ball and work the ball into the box to create chances, something they do well. Sunderland, meanwhile, will want to build through the thirds quickly and get the ball to their excellent carriers in wide positions.
Boro are not just top of the xG chart but also 3rd for non-penalty xG, 6th for highest xG per shot and are currently the biggest underperformers in front of goal, a record that will surely change and they are helped by Sunderland seeing less than one in every three shots on their goal find the target.
Sunderland, meanwhile, are the division's joint top scorers and face a Boro side whose xG per shot conceded is amongst the highest in the Championship. Patrick Roberts and Romaine Mundle also rank in the top five for carries than end in a shot or chance created.
If we are backing the overs, we need to look at which Boro player is likely to end their rotten form in front of goal.
Their underperformance is remarkable. Emmanuel Latte Lath, Isaiah Jones and Finn Azaz sit 3rd, 4th and 5th for highest xG without scoring while Delano Burgzorg and Hayden Hackney have also failed to find the net from 10+ shots this season.
I'm backing Azaz to be the man to do it. No player in the Championship has had more shots or shots on target than the former West Bromwich Albion academy prospect while only Giorgi Chakvetadze has created more chances this season, both overall and from open play.
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