Newcastle United signings will come – These factors tell us why | OneFootball

I totally understand why fans would love Newcastle United signings to have arrived by now, or at the very least by the end of the month (June 2025).

I totally don’t understand why Newcastle United fans are surprised that this is not the case. Not so far anyway.

We have had three summer transfer windows since Mike Ashley left.

They tell us a lot (everything?).

I’m not sure if I have to even talk about summer 2024. It was pretty much a non-event for Newcastle United fans, that is if we are talking positives.

It was a transfer window where the club’s PSR position meant no new first team players could be signed. The most positive moment was Will Osula arriving in August for an initial £10m, a young player added to the squad but a long-term hopeful where the first team were concerned. Instead, summer 2024 was a window dominated by the need to sell Minteh and Anderson.

Those sales needed to balance the PSR position due to….the Newcastle United signings in the previous windows. Which is what I wanted to focus on.

Summer 2022 transfer window – Newcastle United signings

8 June 2022 – Matt Targett signs on permanent deal from Aston Villa for £13m

23 June 2022 – Nick Pope signs from Burnley for £10m

1 July 2022 – Sven Botman signs from Lille for £35m

26 August 2022 – Alexander Isak signs from Real Sociedad for £63m (£59m plus £4m future add-ons)

Summer 2023 transfer window – Newcastle United signings

12 June 2023 – Yankuba Minteh signs from Odense for £7m

3 July 2023 – Sandro Tonali signs from AC Milan for £55m

23 July 2023 – Harvey Barnes signs from Leicester for £38m (£32m plus £6m future add-ons)

8 August 2023 – Tino Livramento signs from Southampton for £38m

22 August 2023 – Lewis Hall signs from Chelsea in a loan deal with an obligation to buy at the end of the season for £28m

When you look at the previous summer transfer windows under Eddie Howe, when there has been money to spend, in summer 2022 and summer 2023, then deals did get done, significant cash commitments. With £111m committed spending in summer 2022 and then £166m in summer 2023.

However, only £30m spent in June 2022 and June 2023 combined, with £247m committed to in the Julys and Augusts of 2022 and 2023.

Matt Targett had been on loan for the previous half season and I think that reality was that there was some kind of permanent commitment to buy him as part of that, a trigger or whatever, so that deal was always going to happen early in that summer 2022 window. Whilst with Nick Pope, it has never been explained exactly how NUFC managed to get for only £10m a current England international keeper in his prime. The only credible explanation to me is that Burnley’s relegation must surely have triggered a Pope release figure of £10m, nothing else makes sense. Whilst the other June deal, the £7m for Yankuba Minteh, that had long been on the cards that it was going to be happening.

Everything points to Newcastle United spending significant money this summer but for me, that always meant in July and August, not June 2025.

History told us that this would be the case, along with many other factors.

I don’t rule out any Newcastle United signings this month but I am anticipating something very similar to that last pre-Champions League transfer window in summer 2023, when don’t forget a total of £166m was committed on new players.

We have already had a Minteh type signing of a promising teenage winger. Just like the Yankuba Minteh signing of two years ago, the Antonio Cordero (AKA Antonito) one this month was long talked about and United signed the 18 year old ahead of a number of other competing clubs. He and his Spanish teammates have now made it to the Under 19s Euro Final and I think a lot of longer-term optimism with his arrival, just like Minteh’s.

I think every chance that we could see though then another similarly brilliant transfer window for first team signings, just like summer 2023.

It is funny how quickly people take things for granted, the fact that Eddie Howe signed Sandro Tonali, Lewis Hall, Tino Livramento and Harvey Barnes, all in one window (as well as Minteh who was sold for £33m, a £26m profit, without playing a single game for NUFC). All four of those were key to United winning the Carabao Cup and qualifying for the Champions League.

Imagine if Eddie Howe and the recruitment team can repeat that level of success this summer, with four similar real quality players of the levels of that summer 2023 quartet?

I wouldn’t be at all surprised if just like in summer 2023, Newcastle make two first team level signings in July who will tick a lot of boxes of the kind of quality that what we are expecting, in time to be integrated and ready for when the Premier League season kicks off in mid-August. To be then followed by another similar couple of quality first team signings by the end of August, hopefully earlier, who will then be integrated and ready for when the Champions League campaign kicks off in September.

As we all know with PSR, even if you have the financial power to pay out whatever, you can only spend up to your thee season PSR limit at any particular time. So I do think that Newcastle United will keep some of their available spending back anyway, at least into early August, so that if any target(s) come up at the right price they will be able to take advantage.