Hooligan Soccer
·20 de fevereiro de 2025
Best Bets for the Weekend in European Soccer
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·20 de fevereiro de 2025
Another round of La Liga action kicks off on Friday night. The league has offered up a match that may not be the sexiest, but could prove to be entertaining, and certainly provides value from a betting perspective. 14th place, Celta Vigo, play host to 9th place, Osasuna. While the fixture may not be a traditional clash of titans, it’s a match that should provide some goals. Since the start of 2025, both clubs have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their matches across all competitions. This helps to explain their current league positions, but what these clubs lack in defense, they make up for in attack. Celta Vigo have scored at least once in nine of their last ten La Liga matches, netting twice or more in four of their last five home games. Osasuna, meanwhile, have failed to score just once in their last seven league assignments, scoring in back-to-back road matches.
Given these data, the “both teams to score”(BTTS) market offers significant value, as BTTS-YES is priced up at -120. This bet has hit in six straight Celta Vigo matches and it’s been a winning selection in six of Osasuna’s last seven matches. There’s every chance that this bet cashes again on Friday night.
THE PLAY: Celta Vigo/Osasuna BTTS-YES (-121)
The Premier League’s lunchtime kickoff on Saturday sees a red-hot Everton side playing host to a not-so-hot Manchester United side. Despite sitting back-to-back in the Premier League table, in 14th place and 15th place, respectively, the Toffees and the Red Devils find themselves at opposite ends of the Premier League form table (across the last seven matchdays). Everton sit in second place in the form table, while Man U find themselves floundering in 16th place.
Earlier this season, Manchester United sacked their manager, Erik Ten Hag, and brought in a new manager, Ruben Amorim, only to seemingly become far worse. Everton, after sacking their own manager, Sean Dyche, in January, reunited with one of their former managers and a club legend, David Moyes OBE. Moyes, in his previous reign, guided Everton through their best period in decades. He and his team performed so well that he became viewed as one of Europe’s best up-and-coming young managers. Eventually, Moyes’s success with Everton earned him the position that at the time was considered the holy grail of football management jobs – succeeding the great manager, Sir Alex Ferguson, at Manchester United.
Unlike what Manchester United have done under Amorim so far, Everton have absolutely thrived since David Moyes has returned. Despite losing his first game in charge, a defeat in the league at home to Aston Villa, Moyes has gone unbeaten in every league match since, racking up four wins and one draw. The draw came against league leaders, Liverpool (the only team that sit above Everton in the form table over the last seven matches), in what proved to be as fiery a Merseyside Derby as any. It was the last-ever Merseyside Derby to be played at Everton’s storied Goodison Park (Everton are moving to a bigger, state-of-the-art stadium next season), and it looked as though it would go down as a victory for the Reds, until, deep into stoppage time, Everton captain, James Tarkowski, lashed home a vicious volley to secure a point for the Toffees. Such is the form that Everton are in at the moment. A result like that would have been unthinkable for the club two months ago. Everton, in Moyes’s seven league games in charge, have picked up more wins than they were able to secure in their previous 19 games under Sean Dyche.
Everton are scoring goals now – something they were massively struggling with before Moyes arrived. Just as he did at West Ham United before this latest stint at Everton, Moyes is improving players. Everton striker, Beto, has scored four goals in his last four games, and Everton, as a team, have scored 12 goals in their last six matches. Spirits are high, they’re picking up points, and it all seems likely to continue this weekend as they host one of the least in-form teams in the league.
It’s hard to see this current version of Manchester United picking up points on the road against anyone in the Premier League right now, let alone against a team playing as well as Everton. The Red Devils have won just once on the road in the league since the start of 2025, and that victory, 0-1 versus Fulham at Craven Cottage, flatters them. Fulham put up a higher expected goals mark, won the shot count, and won the corner count. United scored with their only shot on target in the entire match.
Saturday’s match is lined as a pick’em in the Asian Handicap market, which is a surprise given the disparity in form between the two sides. Perhaps the bookies are reflecting on Manchester United’s recent record against Everton – six wins from their last six head-to-head meetings. That record is really the only positive Man U can take into this match. This is a new Everton, though. An Everton under David Moyes OBE; a man who would love nothing more than to stick it to the club he feels mistreated him all those years ago.
Again, it’s hard to see Manchester United getting a point out of this match, but it’s even harder to imagine them winning the match, so getting Everton as a pick (effectively “draw no bet”) not only represents value, but represents a bit of security as well – the bet results in a push in the event that the match ends in a draw. The Everton side of the pick is priced up at -120 in American odds (1.820 in decimal odds). Bolder bettors may opt to simply take Everton to win the match, as that seems a likely outcome, and the moneyline price is an attractive one at +150, but with the extra safety the Asian Handicap offers, the -120 price is more than fair.
THE PLAY: Everton 0.0 AH (-122)
For more European soccer betting picks, check out The Soccer Sharps podcast on The Hooligan Soccer Network.