Premier League Saturday Tipsheet: Back Burnley to rub salt into the Man Utd wounds at [7.5] | OneFootball

English Premier League

Stinch is back for his best bets for the Premier League on Saturday

Odds compiler and football tipster Mark Stinchcombe is back with his regular look at the Saturday fixtures in the Premier League season with picks and insights for every game on Saturday...

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Chelsea v Fulham Tip - Brazilian Brashness

Chelsea v FulhamSaturday, 12:30Live on TNT Sports

With Cole Palmer's injury, Joao Pedro dropped back into the #10 position and had a huge impact on the game with a goal and two assists. He's 4/5 to score or assist and with Palmer out, Joao Pedro may also be on penalty duties as well having scored five out of five for Brighton last season. However, Fulham have conceded just two goals in their last three visits to Stamford Bridge so 4/5 is short enough for me.

Instead Brazilian wonderkid Estevao might be overpriced for a caution, especially if the game doesn't go all Chelsea's way. Already booked in one of his two games, he was all action against West Ham with three tackles and one foul in his 77 minutes and we also have the advantage of Safe Sub. He joined Chelsea having picked up four yellows in his final 14 starts for Palmeiras.

Man Utd v Burnley Tip - Back Burnley with draw safety net

Man Utd v BurnleySaturday, 15:00

We're just two games into the new Premier League season and Leeds have more points than Man Utd. Sunderland have more points than Man Utd. This weekends opponents in Burnley have more points than Man Utd. League Two Grimsby Town just knocked Man Utd out of the League Cup! Despite spending £195M on three new strikers they still haven't managed to score a goal. And this is having an impact on their odds. They were 3.15 at Fulham last season yet last weekend they were 2.17 in yet another tame performance.

Ruben Amorim has won just seven of his 29 Premier League games, losing a staggering 15 times. We can back Burnley draw no bet at 7.50 knowing that only a Utd win will see us lose our money.

Wolves v Everton Tip - Villa old boy to damage the Old Gold

Wolves v EvertonSaturday, 15:00

Jack Grealish got his first start for Everton in their new Hill Dickinson stadium and what an impact he made providing both assists in the Toffees 2-0 victory over Brighton. He created three chances for team-mates in-comparison to only having one shot to show his propensity for setting up others. 52.2% of Everton's attacks down the left, compared to 16.9% through the middle and 30.9% down the right, as they showed their intentions in getting the ball out to Grealish as much as possible. Indeed, only James Garner with 69 touches had more of the ball than Grealish (60).

In Grealish's final season at Villa, where he was often the focal point of attacks, in the Premier League he ranked:

He finished with 10 assists in 22 games. We can back him at 4/1 against a Wolves defence that have conceded seven goals in their opening three games across all competitions.

Tottenham v Bournemouth Tip - Spurs a threat down the right

Tottenham v BournemouthSaturday, 15:00

What a start it's been for Thomas Frank's Spurs. Two wins out of two, none conceded and sitting pretty in second after a great win at Manchester City. Their front three of Brennan Johnson, Richarlison and Mohammed Kudus look dangerous and they already have four goals and three assists between them. Indeed Spurs' right hand-side has been an excellent source of chance creation with Kudus (six) and Pedro Porro (five) leading the way.

Opposition already seem to struggling to contain them with Kudus himself having already drawn three fouls. Last season Kudus averaged 2.0 fouls won per-game and Porro 1.0 so Bournemouth left-back Adrien Truffert looks in for a tough day. He's already committed two fouls away at Liverpool and is backed to do so again.

Sunderland v Brentford Tip - Too tight to call

Sunderland v BrentfordSaturday, 15:00

A tricky one to predict here. Sunderland got off to a fantastic start with a 3-0 win over West Ham at the Stadium of Light but then followed that up with a 2-0 defeat at Burnley. Brentford couldn't defend at Forest and despite the 1-0 win versus Aston Villa, they had just 24% possession and conceded 17 shots. Brentford are slight favourites here at 6/4 but after just two games of the season it's hard to know what we're going to get from either side.

Leeds v Newcastle Tip - Spurs a threat down the right

Leeds v NewcastleSaturday, 12:30Live on Sky Sports

Tensions are running high at Newcastle right now with Alexander Isak refusing to play and wanting out, whilst the Toon Army can't seem to land any of their transfer targets. This seems to have played out in their matches with a red card in both so far and a total of nine cards overall. Bruno Guimarães was by far the most fouled player in the Premier League last season drawing a foul 2.8 times per-game and this season opposition midfielders Ryan Gravenberch and Boubacar Kamara have already been booked in both games.

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Recommended bets

Back Estevao to be shown a card @ 4/1

Back Burnley draw no bet v Man Utd @ 7.5

Back Jack Grealish anytime assist @ 4/1

Back Adrien Truffert to commit 2+ Fouls @ 7/4

Back Sean Longstaff to be shown a card @ 4/1

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.