Liverpool linked with Nico Williams but is his down season a warning sign? | OneFootball

Nico Williams: Analysing the Stats and Liverpool Transfer Prospects

In a detailed discussion on Transfer Market Metrics by Anfield Index, Dave Davis and Dr Phil Barter dissected the prospects of Nico Williams joining Liverpool under Arne Slot. The conversation illuminated Williams’ current form, statistical profile, and how he might fit into the Reds’ system.

Nico Williams’ Form and Performance Stats

Dr Phil Barter provided a meticulous breakdown of Nico Williams’ performance this season. He pointed out Williams’ reduced playing time, stating:

“He’s on 16 starts so far and has clocked in 1400 minutes – that’s a little bit low. I’d suggest he’s not been in favour, and he’s been injured a little bit this season as well.”

Despite fewer minutes, Williams’ underlying metrics remain notable. Barter highlighted his assist record:

“Across all competitions, he’s on six assists this season – just under a third of what he managed last season when he hit 20 assists.”

His expected assists (xA) metrics remain steady:

“He’s pretty much bang on with 0.17 to 0.19 expected assists per 90 – it’s not like he’s underperforming; he’s in the right positions.”

However, Williams’ goal-scoring remains a concern:

“His xG per 90 is 0.8, but he’s only converting at 0.6 – slightly under his expected goals.”

Strengths and Weaknesses in Williams’ Game

The conversation shifted to Williams’ playing style, with Barter outlining both his attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses:

“He’s clearly a carrier, receiving progressive passes and ranking in the 73rd percentile for touches in the penalty box. His progressive carries are in the 96th percentile, which is brilliant.”

However, his off-the-ball contributions raised questions:

“Defensively, he’s not evolved. He’s only winning 44% of his aerial duels, and his clearances, blocks, and interceptions are below par.”

Williams vs. Liverpool’s Current Forwards

Dr Phil Barter compared Williams’ style and statistics directly with Liverpool’s existing options, particularly Luis Díaz and Cody Gakpo:

“Compared to Díaz, Williams carries the ball better, takes more players on, and provides more assists. However, Díaz is more involved in goals, despite being hot and cold.”“Gakpo dwarfs Williams in most areas, except ball carrying, which indicates where Williams sits on the depth chart.”

Photo: IMAGO

Potential Transfer Complications

The discussion also tackled the practicalities of a Liverpool move, particularly financial and personal hurdles. Dave Davis noted:

“We know his release clause is €58 million, and he’s on big money at Athletic Bilbao. He’s also been reluctant to leave Spain, which has always been a question mark.”

Barter added concerns about Williams’ recent injuries:

“He’s had two injuries this season – a hip and an ankle – missing just under 20 days. That’s a factor in his form dip.”

Is Williams the Right Fit for Liverpool?

Both contributors weighed up whether Williams aligns with Arne Slot’s Liverpool vision. Barter was sceptical:

“He needs to shoot more to get more goals. It feels like he’s having a bit of a down season. There’s stuff to like between the boxes, but defensively, there’s work to do.”

Davis, while seeing potential, questioned if Liverpool should invest heavily:

“For me, the worry is paying out that kind of money for a player having a down season. There are probably better options on the market.”

Conclusion: Should Liverpool Sign Nico Williams?

The insights from Dr Phil Barter and Dave Davis paint a complex picture. Williams offers pace, carrying ability, and creativity but lacks the defensive work rate Arne Slot may demand. His €58 million clause and current form present risks for Liverpool. Yet, as a 22-year-old with room to develop, the Basque winger remains a tantalising prospect—if the price is right and his form recovers.