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Jose Gaya: Carded in five of his last 10 games

Our football props column focuses on a battle between wide men when Alaves host Valencia in La Liga on Wednesday evening.

Deportivo Alaves v ValenciaWednesday 14 May, 18:00Live on LaLigaTV & Premier Player

La Liga's highest-carding referee, Jesus Gil Manzano, gets this match on Wednesday evening, one which also features the division's second most-carded team.

As well as their high card count, Alaves are also second for fouls committed and fourth for fouls drawn.

Leg 1: Alaves over 1.5 cards

Admittedly, Manzano has slowed down a bit of late following a wild start to the campaign but his average of more than six cards per game remains eyecatching.

A return to higher numbers here would be no surprise given what's at stake for the two sides.

The hosts are in need of points as they battle against relegation, while for Valencia, their need relates to the chase for European football next season.

Some will feel the positional gap between the teams is off-putting but if you look at things in terms of points, Valencia are only 10 better off. It should be competitive.

I'm happy to put Alaves down for over 1.5 cards - that's landed in 15 of their last 16 games - but I'm not going to go crazy in terms of backing high card counts given how Manzano has slowed down of late.

Leg 2: Jose Gaya to be shown a card

Instead, my focus is on Valencia left-back Jose Gaya.

He's been carded in five of his last 10 games and looks likely to attract the referee's attention here.

Gaya's direct opponent is set to be Carlos Vicente, who is the hosts' third most-fouled player, drawing 1.78 fouls per 90 minutes.

Nahuel Tenaglia or Santiago Mourino will be in behind at right-back and both also have strong records in terms of drawing fouls.

Leg 3: Diego Lopez 1+ shot

To push the price up to 4/1, let's also add Diego Lopez for 1+ shot.

The Valencia forward has managed this in 14 of his last 15 starts and hit three shots in the equivalent fixture last season when Alaves won 1-0.

EFL play-offs: Alan Dudman on Stockport v Leyton Orient

Recommended bets

Back Jose Gaya to be shown a card, Alaves over 1.5 cards & DIego Lopez 1+ shot @ 4/1

Column P/L 2024/25

Staked: 292pts Returned: 308.3pts 2024/25 P/L: +16.3pts

2023/24 P/L: +16.78pts 2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts