Santos see relegation fears grow, repeating form from their drop year | OneFootball

Santos saw its probability of relegation increase after the defeat to Bahia last Sunday at Arena Fonte Nova. The Alvinegro Praiano performed below expectations and lost 2-0 in the 21st round of the Brazilian Championship.

This was the second consecutive defeat for the Peixe, which remains threatened by the relegation zone. The Santos team is in 15th place, with only 21 points in 20 games, and only avoided ending the round in the Z4 because Vasco was defeated at home by Corinthians.

According to a survey conducted by the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Santos' chances of relegation slightly increased. The probability was 26.4% after the crushing defeat to Vasco, 6-0, in front of 54,000 Santos fans at Morumbi.

After the setback against Bahia, Santos' chance of relegation increased by about four percentage points. At this moment, the possibility stands at 30.5%. However, five other teams are still ahead of Peixe, which might be a small relief.

After 21 rounds (with some teams having fewer games), Sport has the highest probability of relegation, with 84.6% chances. Four other clubs follow closely and still have higher chances of relegation than Peixe. They are: Fortaleza (76.3%), Juventude (60.3%), Vasco (49%), and Vitória (43.8%).

Santos repeats 2023 campaign

Nevertheless, Santos still faces considerable risks of relegation. Another factor that slightly worries the Santos fans is that the Alvinegro Praiano is practically repeating the 2023 campaign, the year of the team's unprecedented relegation.

After 20 matches, Santos has accumulated 21 points. The campaign consists of six wins, three draws, and 11 losses, with 20 goals scored and 31 conceded. The Peixe is even on its third coach in Serie A in 2025 – Vojvoda was announced last week and starts his work this Tuesday.

In the year of relegation, after the same 20 rounds, Peixe had exactly the same score. The team from Baixada Santista had, at the time, five wins, six draws, and nine losses, with 21 goals scored and 32 goals conceded. These are very similar numbers. It remains to be seen now if the end of the story will be the same.

Trying to start a reaction and move away from the danger of relegation, Santos returns to the field next weekend. Peixe hosts Fluminense this Sunday, starting at 4 pm (Brasília time), at Vila Belmiro, for the 22nd round of the Brasileirão.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.