OneFootball
·13 July 2025
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·13 July 2025
The Club World Cup has reached its final match: the final between PSG and Chelsea will designate the team "World Champion" for the next 4 years.
Luis Enrique's team has eliminated powerhouses like Bayern Munich and Real Madrid, has clearly beaten Inter Miami of its "ex" par excellence - Lionel Messi - and has only lost one group stage match against Botafogo.
Chelsea, on the other hand, has topped the group in 2nd place, losing to Flamengo and - by chance - ended up in the easier part of the draw: the Blues then beat Benfica, Palmeiras and Fluminense to reach the final.
According to OptaAnalyst's algorithm, PSG is favored to win: 64.4% chance of winning against 35.6% attributed to Chelsea. A clear gap that rewards PSG's perfect season.
A statistic provided by Opta perfectly explains PSG's statistical advantage: in the last five direct elimination matches - in all competitions - they have won with a total score of 18-0.
Chelsea, on the other hand, has a great relationship with international finals: they have won five of the last six since 2013. Their only defeat in the last 12 years was the 2013 UEFA Super Cup against Bayern Munich.
Opta's statistics also tell us about two teams that have a great relationship with the first half in two different aspects of the game.
PSG has scored 10 goals in the first half in this Club World Cup: only Bayern has scored more (11). The Parisians have also produced 5.85 xG before the break, a figure that only Manchester City (6.18) can surpass.
On the other hand, Chelsea has never conceded a goal in the first half of the tournament: they have only conceded 0.85 xG to their opponents during the first 45 minutes, the lowest value in the competition so far.
This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇮🇹 here.
📸 ANGELA WEISS - AFP or licensors
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