Saturday League One & League Two Tips: Alex look unstoppable as one of six bets | OneFootball

EFL League One & League Two

Crewe are looking for their fifth straight win on Saturday

Alan Dudman landed four winners in midweek from his six selections and previews Matchday 5 in League One and League Two with a selection of tips for Saturday...

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League One Tips

Luton Town v Cardiff City, Saturday 12:30: Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 3/4

Both of Luton's home matches at Kenny have been 1-0 victories and that has to be the angle into Saturday's big game and early kick-off.

Tuesday's narrow success over Wigan was very similar to the opening night for the season against Wimbledon; with most of the play, most of the ball but a solitary goal.

An xG figure of 0.92 was recorded on Tuesday, with a 0.37 losing at Bradford last weekend. Cardiff scraped a late winner in midweek at Wimbledon - earning us a BTTS 'No' winner. I'd have the Under 2.5 Goals a little shorter for this and 3/4 is more than acceptable.

Luton are unbeaten across their last 25 home games in League One (W18 D7), since a 1-0 defeat to Huddersfield Town at Kenilworth Road in May 2008, and we'd take another 1-0 either way.

AFC Wimbledon v Barnsley, Saturday 15:00: Back BTTS 'No' @ 1/1

Four of AFC Wimbledon's five matches have resulted in the Under 2.5 Goals backers profiting, and while that is more than viable again, Barnsley will make this difficult for the hosts and I expect a very close one here.

Barnsley are unbeaten under Connor Hourihane, and Tuesday's 0-1 win at Peterborough was their first clean sheet since February.

The rookie boss has done endless hours of drills and schooling, so it was just rewards as they had conceded very late previously against Bolton, and kept Posh to just one shot on target across the 90 minutes. The Tykes were value for more on the second 45 as they hit the woodwork twice and missed a pair of sitters.

Wimbledon's home xG metrics at 1.03 for and 0.78 against means this will be no gimme for the visitors and we go again with the BTTS 'No' bet.

Port Vale are finding themselves slipping off the pace already with just two points from four games but they should have collected their first 'W' in the column on Tuesday having led Stevenage until the 88th minute only to concede twice with Jamie Reid goals.

Typical too - as I put up Reid Anytime Scorer last weekend.

Vale have no matched Cardiff and been unlucky in both Stevenage and Burton games and in a clash of the promoted sides, I don't think there is much between the pair.

Darren Moore is missing Jayden Stockley with injury and while Lorent Tolaj looks half decent up front, he lacks a strike-partner of natural fit.

Donny lost for the first time this season on Tuesday with a 2-0 loss at Huddersfield - and there's no shame in that as Town will be one of the big guns this term and Rovers matched them. The loss ended a run of six matches on the road without defeat (W4 D2). They haven't lost consecutive away league games since Boxing Day 2024, with defeats to AFC Wimbledon and Walsall on that occasion and with options up top for Vale not quite at full pelter, the market looks very much in favour of the Unders.

League Two Tips

Cheltenham Town v Barnet, Saturday 15:00: Back Barnet to win @ 11/10

There are some poor teams at the moment in League Two and on their substantial merits at the moment, few are poorer than Cheltenham.

They've lost all four games, have scored one goal with 10 conceded, and they face a team that will be buoyed by a first win, and Barnet at the 11/10 makes sense here.

The Robins conceded twice to Bromley on Tuesday, both goals from set-pieces and both from switching off and they cannot afford to keep doing so as Barnet outfoxed Swindon in midweek with a tactical masterstroke from Dean Brennan, who was fully prepared for Swindon and their game plan worked.

Previously Brennan had seen his teams play neat football with possession but no results. At Swindon they mixed it physically and went more direct, and that same approach can play on Cheltenham's weakness.

I like Brennan, not only his passion but there's some good thinking too.

Gillingham v Crewe Alexandra, Saturday 15:00: Back Crewe to win @ 17/10

Like McFadden and Whitehead, there ain't no stopping Crewe at the moment and their title price has contracted after an epic beginning and you can now back the Alex at 12/1 instead of the pre-season price of 25/1 in the League Two Winner market.

I still think that's a bit of a goer.

The Alex were troublesome and untrustworthy last term with eight home losses and eight draws on the road. This term it is WWWW beating Salford, Accrington, Crawley and Fleetwood.

Such is their manner at the moment, Fleetwood were thumped 4-1 on their own patch on Tuesday. Crewe have some good players - intelligent with the ball and ones that move and make space, and that's been the highlight of many of their goals thus far.

They also run hard, and their energy, freshness and will to win the second-ball was the difference in midweek, but I like what Bell is going and 17/10 looks a big price for a 100% team.

Fleetwood Town v Oldham Athletic, Saturday 15:00: Back Fleetwood to win @ 7/5

I've mentioned Fleetwood's heavy loss on Tuesday to Crewe, and while Peter Wild labelled some of their defending horrific, the Alex will do that to plenty of teams.

You hope they are not as bad as they showed, but it's being allowed to show it, and Crewe didn't let them.

Oldham earned a point in midweek against Bristol Rovers, and at times were under the cosh, but Rovers have been poor and it looked a case of two moderate teams earning a point.

The Latics have an honest front two that work hard, but I don't see a lot of goals in them, and Micky Mellon changed to a back four instead of three in midweek and that seemed to help.

This looks a tougher game for Oldham than the Bristol Rovers one and I expect Fleetwood to bounce back here.

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