Saturday Football Cheat Sheet: Podcast tips, match previews, superboost and free bets | OneFootball

Saturday Football Cheat Sheet: Podcast tips, match previews, superboost and free bets | OneFootball

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·23 November 2024

Saturday Football Cheat Sheet: Podcast tips, match previews, superboost and free bets

Article image:Saturday Football Cheat Sheet: Podcast tips, match previews, superboost and free bets
Article image:Saturday Football Cheat Sheet: Podcast tips, match previews, superboost and free bets

Get our experts' best bets for Saturday's football


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The Premier League is back and our football experts have the best bets for Saturday's matches as well as tips for the EFL and top European Leagues...

  • Cole Palmer bet kicks us off in Chelsea v Leicester at 4/1
  • Fulham and Wolves players combine in Bet Builder at 7/1
  • Tottenham backed to test City in Opta Bet Builder at 71/1
  • Opt-in here to receive your completely free Acca or Bet Builder this weekend!
  • Place £10 bet on any sport on the Betfair Exchange to start your Free Bet Streak
  • It's Safer Gambling Week - explore all the tools available to Betfair customers here

Leicester v Chelsea SuperBoost

Nicolas Jackson is leading the line for Chelsea in fine form this season, netting six Premier League goals so far.

He's keeping out Joao Felix and Christopher Nkunku amongst others, and perhaps it is no surprise, as he has managed more shots on target than any other Chelsea player this season (15).

Indeed, only Erling Haaland (32) and Mo Salah (21) have managed more than Jackson's 15 this season, with the Chelsea managing 1 or more shots on target in every single one of his 11 Premier League appearances so far.

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Article image:Saturday Football Cheat Sheet: Podcast tips, match previews, superboost and free bets

Can he do it once again in the lunchtime kick-off? Well, only Brentford (203) have faced more shots this season than Leicester City (195), so we've SuperBoosted Nicolas Jackson to hit the target once again, now 1/1, up from 1/3!

Premier League tips and predictions

12:30 - Leicester City v Chelsea: Back Cole Palmer to score and assist at 4/1

Mark Stinchcombe: "Cole Palmer is a superstar so it's worth checking his prices across various markets, especially against a newly promoted Leicester City team. The Foxes are conceding the second most shots per-game (17.7) and as a result the second most expected goals against in the Premier League (25.79). Last season, Palmer scored six goals (27% of his goals) and had four assists (36% of his assists) against the newly promoted sides, averaging a goal involvement every 43 minutes, so it's clear he's capable of punishing weak opposition.

"He's odds on to score anytime at 20/21 which isn't attractive and only 9/4 to assist anytime, which again doesn't look too attractive when you consider three of this seasons five assists all came in one game (Wolves away). However, if you combine him to score and assist in a Bet Builder, we can get an attractive 4/1.

This bet won in three of the five games he played against last seasons newly promoted sides, winning against each of Luton Town, Burnley and Sheffield United. He's only 8/13 to score or assist and just 9/4 to have 2 or more goal involvements.

15:00 - Arsenal v Nottm Forest: Arteta's men to return to winning ways

Mike Norman: "By the time this game kicks off it will be exactly seven weeks since Arsenal last won a Premier League game. That's pretty hard to believe. True, they've only played four games in that time but it has to be of concern, especially given that they also lost to Inter Milan in the Champions League.

"But like Man City it feels like the international break came at a good time, and with Declan Rice and Bukayo Saka likely to have recovered from the 'injuries' that ruled them out of the England squad I can see Mikel Arteta's men getting back to winning ways, despite Forest enjoying a great season so far."

Mike's prediction: Arsenal to Win

15:00 - Bournemouth v Brighton: Kerkev assist looks overpriced

Alex Boyes: "Bournemouth full back Milos Kerkez has recorded more overlaps into the final third (55) than any other player in the Premier League this season, with the 21-year-old recording the fifth-most crosses from open play of any defender in the competition so far this term (27)."

15:00 - Fulham v Wolves: Back treble at 7/1

Stephen Tudor: "The Cottagers mix up their play impressively, a variance that has, when it comes to some stats, elevated them above a small group of top four contenders. Only Liverpool and Aston Villa have scored more goals than Fulham this term from a sequence of 10+ passes but Marco Silva's men are also capable of servicing Raul Jimenez quickly with the second most direct attacks."Key to both approaches is Alex Iwobi who has been involved in 60 shot-ending sequences. The Nigerian midfielder's xA of 2.9 is the second highest in the top-flight from open play.

"Fulham are fancied here to extend their decent home record but Wolves have scored in their last three away fixtures, with Matheus Cunha bagging each time. Results suggest they are starting to turn a corner and both teams to score appeals."

17:30 - Man City v Tottenham Tips: Opta say back 71/1 Bet Builder on Saturday

Opta: "One thing that seems a certainty is that there will be goals at the Etihad Stadium. Saturday's match is a meeting between two of the league's three top scoring teams, with Tottenham having scored 23 and Manchester City on 22. City have also registered the highest xG (22.3) in the Premier League, with Tottenham second on 21.7.

"The teams rank first and second for the total number of shots taken as well, having had a combined total of 401 across their 22 league games this season. Both teams also rank in the top two for shots on target, having managed a combined total of 143. Tottenham average 6.2 per game, meaning odds of 7/5 for them to register five or more shots on target are noteworthy.

"With both sides also having the two highest average possession figures in the Premier League this season, this will ostensibly be 'a who does it better' in controlling the match and playing attacking football."

EFL tips and predictions

15:00 Championship - QPR v Stoke: Potters won't crack

Jack Critchley: "QPR went into the international break bottom of the pile. The R's have struggled with defensive injuries whilst also looking fairly ineffective going forward. Yan Celar has struggled to make an impact and Nicholas Madsen looks a little lightweight in midfield. Despite signing a new contract earlier this season, Marti Cifuentes is under significant pressure and this is a must-win match for the Spaniard. Unfortunately, they are hosting a side who have enjoyed an upturn in form since making a managerial switch.

"Stoke have lost just one of their last eight matches in the Championship with Narcis Pelach making his side much tougher to beat in recent weeks. The Potters' only defeat came against in-form Sheffield United and they went into the international break having collected seven points from a possible nine. The Staffordshire side will surely enjoy coming up against a team who have notched just four times in their last nine outings. The visitors are yet to travel to any side below 18th but have conceded just a single goal when facing bottom-half teams on the road. They should have enough quality going forward to take at least a point from this fixture."

15:00 League One - Huddersfield v Charlton: Back unders in 20/1 treble

Alan Dudman: "Huddersfield have won each of their last three home league games, their longest such winning run since December 2020, when they won five on the spin, so perhaps the tide is turning for Michael Duff, whose team have stuttered a bit this term.

"Charlton promised plenty early on, but they are down in 13th and are looking far from a play-off team at the moment.

"My punting with Charlton relies on their strong defensive shape, and away from home they struggle in front of goal. Nathan Jones' Addicks have scored just six on the road and created very little in their recent 1-0 loss at Exeter and their first-half display was very poor. They gave the ball away far too cheaply in the first-half and were under the cosh a fair bit with the amount of corners they conceded.

"Jones was without 10 players at Exeter although he has refused to blame injuries, and while better in the second 45 at Exeter, it's hard to see them creating too much here. Five of their away games have banked for Under 2.5 Goals backers and that's a goer for Saturday.".

European Football tips and predictions

16:00 Turkish Super League - Bodrum v Galatasaray: Back visitors in 3/1 acca

Andy Robson: "Tottenham's Europa League conquerors Galatasaray have dropped only two of the 33 points on offer in the Turkish Super Lig this season, which isn't surprising given the embarrassment of riches the Cimbom possess in attack.

"Galatasaray have plundered 32 goals in just 11 league fixtures since August, while Okan Buruk's top-heavy outfit have also notched three or more goals in 10 of their last 13 matches in all competitions.

"With attackers like Dries Mertens, Michy Batshuayi, Baris Yilmaz, and Victo Osimhen combining to devastating effect, Galatasaray's firepower has been too hot for their domestic opponents to handle and the Super Lig leaders can swat Bodrum aside on Saturday.

"Bodrum FK have lost seven times in 12 skirmishes since their promotion from the Turkish second tier in the summer and they have been hamstrung by their struggles in the final third."

Back Andy Robson's Saturday four-fold

17:30 Bundesliga - Eintracht Frankfurt v Werder Bremen: Back Ekitike

Kevin Hatchard: "Frankfurt's striker Hugo Ekitike can be backed at 8/5 to find the net, and that's absolutely worth doing. The Frenchman has netted four goals in his last four competitive matches, and interestingly he has scored in six of his eight home games this term.

"Werder should be obliging opposition. The northern giants have leaked 21 goals in their first ten league games, and they have managed a solitary clean sheet. Another way in is to perhaps back Marmoush to score or assist, and double it up with Over 2.5 Goals 1.94. Nine of Werder's last 11 away games in the league have featured three goals or more."

20:00 La Liga Tips - Celta Vigo v Barcelona: Back Barca in double

Jamie Kemp: "Barcelona have the most feared press in all of LaLiga, and their mentality in facing a team who try to build from the back will be to double down even more. Indeed, the general theme of this game is that Barcelona are excellent in possession and without it. Celta, meanwhile, are fragile on the defensive end for as much as they impress with their use of the ball.

"By the measure of expected goals, Celta have the seventh-best attack in La Liga this term (18.4), but their xG difference when factoring in defensive performance puts them only just about in the green (+2.7). As for Barcelona, their xG difference this term is a mammoth +15.8 - they've been by far the best team in the division so far.

"I like Celta's chances of scoring in this game, just due to their attacking approach and how they rarely look short of rhythm on that end. Iago Aspas usually comes to the party against Barcelona too - he's scored 11 goals in 19 games against them in La Liga. As for whether they can do enough to get a result, that is a different matter against an opponent this strong."

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