Premier League Opta Stats Betting: Back 12/1 card double tip and 20/1 first goalscorer in NLD | OneFootball

English Premier League

Alex fancied Gabriel to score against Tottenham in the North London derby

The less said about MD3 the better, but we are back feeling refreshed after the international break with 10 more Opta stats bets for the Premier League as we look to increase our overall profit so far...

Southampton v Manchester United

Goals forecast on the South Coast

The Opta Stat:

"Southampton (4) and Manchester United (3) have made the most errors leading to a goal in the Premier League so far this season. All three of Man Utd's goals conceded in their loss at Liverpool last time out came via errors, the first time on record they've ever committed as many in a single Premier League match (since 2007-08). Indeed, Manchester United have come from behind to beat Southampton in 10 different Premier League games - only Liverpool have more comeback wins against a single opponent in the competition's history (11 v Newcastle)."

The Betfair Bet:

Back both teams to score two or more goals @ 19/5

Betfair SuperBoost!

Each of the last four Betfair SuperBoosts on football have won, with last week's boost on England to score in the first half against Ireland duly in by the 11th minute.

That made it three on the bounce to win inside 26 minutes, and this week, we look for another winner!

Manchester United travel to Southampton for the early KO, and it is all about Kobbie Mainoo for us.

The England international has committed the most fouls of any Man Utd player so far this season (7), at least three more than any of his teammates.

In fact, only Bruno Guimaraes (21) and Joelinton (16) have been involved in more fouls than Mainoo (14) this season (7 committed, 7 won).

He's also been booked in each of his last three games for club and country, picking up a yellow inside the first half against Ireland for England last week.

It is 2/5 for Mainoo to commit one or more fouls v Southampton, something he has done in each of his apps so far, but Betfair have SuperBoosted that price up to 1/1!

Brighton & Hove Albion v Ipswich Town

Battering ram Delap

The Opta Stat:

"Only two players have conceded more fouls in the Premier League this season than Ipswich's Liam Delap (9), with Delap conceding four fouls in each of his last two games."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Liam Delap to commit 3 or more fouls @ 4/1

Crystal Palace v Leicester City

Get on goals in South London

The Opta Stat:

"Since drawing consecutive home games 0-0 in September/October last season, Crystal Palace's last 16 at Selhurst Park in the Premier League have seen 59 goals scored (F34 A25, 3.7 per game). Only Chelsea (63) and Manchester City's (60) home games have seen more goals in the competition since the first game in that run (27th October)."

The Betfair Bet:

Back over 3.5 goals at Selhurst Park @ 9/5

Fulham v West Ham United

Bowen's on fire

The Opta Stat:

"West Ham's Jarrod Bowen has nine Premier League goals away from home since the start of last season, with only Erling Haaland (16) and Ollie Watkins (10) netting more, while his only goal this term came away at Crystal Palace."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Jarrod Bowen to score anytime @ 12/5

Liverpool v Nottingham Forest

Use Jota to help Slot make history

The Opta Stat:

"Diogo Jota has scored six goals in five appearances against Nottingham Forest in all competitions, netting in all three of his games against the Tricky Trees for current side Liverpool (4 goals). It's his longest scoring run against a single opponent in his English club career. Indeed, Liverpool have won all three of their Premier League games under new manager Arne Slot without conceding a single goal. No manager in the competition's history has kept a clean sheet in each of their first four matches in charge, while only six have won each of their first four, most recently Maurizio Sarri in 2018."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Diogo Jota to score and both teams to score - No @ 7/2

Manchester City v Brentford

Use Doku and Grealish for a big price card bet

The Opta Stat:

"Manchester City's Jérémy Doku has progressed the ball upfield 747.8m via ball carries in the Premier League this season, almost 300m more than any other player (Jan Paul van Hecke second with 457.3m). His 64 progressive carries are also a league-high, along with his 17 carries ending in a take-on."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Mads Roerslev to be shown a card @ 13/2

Aston Villa v Everton

Take the boost in the to be fouled market

Bournemouth v Chelsea

Play the card double

The Opta Stat:

"No player was shown more yellow cards in the Premier League last season than Marco Senesi (13), whilst Nicolas Jackson picked up the second most by any Chelsea player with 10. Indeed, Senesi has been booked in both previous Premier League meetings with Chelsea, whilst Jackson was booked in one of the two meetings last season."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Marco Senesi and Nicolas Jackson to be shown a card @ 12/1

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Newcastle United

Only one bet in play here

The Opta Stat:

"61% of the Premier League meetings between Newcastle and Wolves have finished as a draw (11/18), the highest percentage of any fixture to have been played at least 15 times in the competition. Indeed, Both teams have scored in all nine of the Premier League meetings between Wolves and Newcastle at Molineux Stadium, the most played specific fixture in the competition to never see a clean sheet."

The Betfair Bet:

Opta Stats P/L 2024-25 -

(Single Recommended bet of the week)

Stake: 3ptsReturn: 0P/L: -3ROI: -%

(Overall Column)

Stake: 29ptsReturn: 33.48P/L: +4.48ROI: +15.4%

Now read more weekend Premier League tips here!

Recommended bets

Back John McGinn and Vitali Mykolenko to be fouled 1 or more times @ 5/2

Back Gabriel to score first @ 20/1

Back Bukayo Saka to score or assist @ 7/5