🔮 Onefootball knows how the Premier League season will end | OneFootball

Football is on its way back. The Bundesliga is returning and the Premier League are ramping up their restart plans too.

And nobody knows what’s going to happen. Except, well, us!

With our favourite pastime returning, Onefootball’s data and statistical specialists decided to run a simulator to predict how the rest of the season could play out across Europe.

Based on 10 years of data and processed using an algorithm specifically developed for this purpose, the simulation delivers a season end scenario by defining each club’s chances of finishing in the most relevant league positions.

The method uses the relative strengths of teams developed over their 10 most recent home and away matches and is based on input data, such as goals scored/conceded, shots on target and a home advantage indicator. With over 155.000 simulations for each league, the calculation provides a reliable scientific prediction of the 2019/20 season.

And without further ado …

Title winners …

Liverpool fans, it’s time to exhale. The 30-year wait is about to end.

In 150,000 simulations, there was not a single case where the Reds didn’t lift the Premier League title.

Manchester City will most likely finish second, followed by Leicester City and Chelsea.

Champions League …

Liverpool are, of course, into the Champions League. And Manchester City joined them in 99% of the simulations.

Leicester (88%) will also be at Europe’s top table next season but the fourth and final place was hotly contested.

Chelsea are most likely to win it, qualifying in 51% of simulations, with Manchester United (31%) not too far behind.

The dream isn’t over for Wolves (12%), while Sheffield United, Tottenham and Arsenal can still harbour slim hopes.

Europa League …

It looks like it’ll be another season of Europa League football for Manchester United, who finished fifth in 24% of simulations.

Chelsea – should they miss out on third and fourth – will likely still land in the top five, finishing fifth 22% of the time.

Wolves (in fifth in 15% of simulations), Sheffield United (11%), Tottenham and Arsenal (both 9%) can all fight for European qualification too. Especially as Manchester City’s EFL Cup win means sixth place is already guaranteed a Europa League slot.

Should a team already qualified for Europe also win the FA Cup, seventh place will also be granted a place.

Relegation …

It’s been a rough season for Norwich and it doesn’t look like it’s going to get any easier.

Relegated in 91% of simulations, the Canaries are in big trouble.

Aston Villa (71%) aren’t far behind, with Bournemouth (47%) most likely to follow them as the third club to go down. But it’ll be tight.

West Ham (35%) and Watford (28%) are likely to be battling for survival right until the end of the season, with Brighton (23%) also in the mix to go down.