Betting.Betfair.com
·3 March 2025
Monday Football Tips: Back 11/1 cards Bet Builder in La Liga
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·3 March 2025
Pol Lozano: Regularly in trouble with the La Liga referees
Villarreal v EspanyolMonday 3 March, 20:00Live on Premier Sports 1
I like the chance of cards in Monday night's La Liga fixture.
Heading into the weekend, these two were both in the top four for bookings.
We've also got a decent referee for cards in Jose Luis Munuera Montero, who was ranked fifth coming into matchday 26, averaging 5.25 yellows per game this season in the competition.
I'll happily put each team down for 2+ cards. That's been a staple for Espanyol this term - they've ticked this off in 24 of their 27 games. Meanwhile, Villarreal have received at least two cards in seven of their last 10.
There are also a couple of prices worth taking in the player-card market.
I'll start with Pol Lozano who, on the face of it, may seem rather short at 17/10.
However, the Espanyol midfielder has been carded in eight of his 17 league starts this season, which suggests he should be closer to even money than he actually is.
Add in the fact that Villarreal are in the top five for fouls drawn - and Espanyol are fourth for fouls committed - and we have a bet.
As for the hosts, Yeremy Pino has received a card in seven of his 16 La Liga starts yet he's out at 7/2 for another here.
That price is too big for the winger, who has been booked in five of his last nine.
Put the three legs together and you get a Bet Builder which pays just over 11/1.
Admittedly, there's a danger the game is just too uncompetitive - Villarreal are challenging for a top-four spot, whereas Espanyol are battling at the other end of the table.
However, there were eight cards when the sides met in the reverse fixture, a game which saw Lozano booked (Pino didn't play).
Staked: 228pts Returned: 261.1pts 2024/25 P/L: +33.1pts
2023/24 P/L: +16.78pts 2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts