Chelsea retain perfect record with Man City to top only Premier League table that really matters…

In partnership with

Football365

·4 October 2023

Chelsea retain perfect record with Man City to top only Premier League table that really matters…

Mykhaylo Mudryk scored his first goal for Chelsea against Fulham.

Goals are great, but what’s even better than actual goals? Expected goals, obvs. And, according to xG, Chelsea are brilliant – they should’ve won every game this season.

OneFootball Videos

Here’s the full xG table, and some quick takeaways:

Chelsea need a striker.
Everton, having scored less than half of their xG total, are the new Brighton.
Tottenham are over-performing. So are Villa and West Ham. Can they sustain their positive starts?
Luton should have more than than their single victory.
Man Utd are bang-average, whatever the metric.
Brentford need Ivan Toney back, or a similar replacement.
Sheffield United are going down.

1) Manchester City – 21 points Actual points: 18 (-3 points) Burnley W 1.9-0.3 Newcastle United W 1.0-0.3 Sheffield United W 3.5-0.7 Fulham W 2.2-1.4 West Ham W 3.6-0.9 Nottingham Forest W 1.3-1.0 Wolves W 0.9-0.4

2) Chelsea – 21 points Actual points: 8 (-13 points) Liverpool W 1.4-1.3 West Ham W 2.5-1.8 Luton W 2.2-0.4 Nottingham Forest W 2.3-0.8 Bournemouth W 1.8-1.0 Aston Villa W 1.3-1.0 Fulham W 1.7-1.1

3) Arsenal – 18 points Actual points: 17 (-1 point) Nottingham Forest L 0.8-1.2 Crystal Palace W 2.0-1.0 Fulham W 3.2-0.6 Manchester United W 2.3-0.9 Everton W 1.0-0.3 Tottenham W 1.8-1.4 Bournemouth W 3.4-0.6

4) Brighton – 18 points Actual points: 15 (-3 points) Luton W 4.0-1.5 Wolves W 2.2-2.1 West Ham L 1.5-3.0 Newcastle United W 1.3-1.2 Manchester United W 1.7-1.0 Bournemouth W 1.9-1.1 Aston Villa W 1.7-1.6

5) Newcastle – 15 points Actual points: 12 (-3 points) Aston Villa W 3.3-1.8 Manchester City L 0.3-1.0 Liverpool W 2.0-0.9 Brighton L 1.2-1.3 Brentford W 1.4-0.5 Sheffield United W 3.9-0.9 Burnley W 3.2-0.6

6) Brentford – 15 points Actual points: 7 (-8 points) Tottenham W 2.2-1.3 Fulham W 3.7-0.5 Crystal Palace W 1.0-0.8 Bournemouth W 2.9-2.1 Newcastle United L 0.5-1.4 Everton L 1.0-1.9 Nottingham Forest W 1.6-0.5

7) Tottenham – 12 points Actual points: 17 (+5 points) Brentford L 1.3-2.2 Manchester United L 1.7-2.1 Bournemouth W 2.1-0.7 Burnley W 2.2-1.3 Sheffield United W 2.1-0.7 Arsenal L 1.4-1.8 Liverpool W 2.2-1.3

8) Liverpool – 12 points Actual points: 16 (+4 points) Chelsea L 1.3-1.4 Bournemouth W 3.0-1.3 Newcastle United L 0.9-2.0 Aston Villa W 2.5-0.7 Wolves W 2.5-0.6 West Ham W 3.0-1.1 Tottenham L 1.3-2.2

9) Everton – 12 points Actual points: 4 (-8 points) Fulham W 2.7-1.5 Aston Villa L 0.6-2.9 Wolves W 1.3-1.1 Sheffield United W 2.5-1.2 Arsenal L 0.3-1.0 Brentford W 1.9-1.0 Luton Town W 2.9-0.9

10) Manchester United – 10 points Actual points: 9 (-1 point) Wolves D 2.2-2.2 Tottenham W 2.1-1.7 Nottingham Forest W 2.8-1.2 Arsenal L 0.9-2.3 Brighton L 1.0-1.7 Burnley L 1.0-1.1 Crystal Palace W 1.3-0.9

11) Aston Villa – 9 points Actual points: 15 (+6 points) Newcastle United L 1.8-3.3 Everton W 2.9-0.6 Burnley W 2.5-0.7 Liverpool L 0.7-2.5 Crystal Palace W 3.0-1.2 Chelsea L 1.0-1.3 Brighton L 1.6-1.7

12) Nottingham Forest – 9 points Actual points: 8 (-1 point) Arsenal W 1.2-0.8 Sheffield United W 1.4-0.5 Manchester United L 1.2-2.8 Chelsea L 0.8-2.3 Burnley W 0.7-0.5 Manchester City L 1.0-1.3 Brentford L 0.5-1.6

13) Luton – 9 points Actual points: 4 (-5 points) Brighton L 1.5-4.0 Chelsea L 0.4-2.2 West Ham W 1.4-1.0 Fulham W 1.1-1.0 Wolves W 2.1-0.6 Everton L 0.9-2.9

14) West Ham – 6 points Actual points: 13 (+7 points) Bournemouth L 1.1-1.3 Chelsea L 1.8-2.5 Brighton W 3.0-1.5 Luton L 1.0-1.4 Manchester City L 0.9-3.6 Liverpool L 1.1-3.0 Sheffield United W 2.1-1.1

15) Crystal Palace – 6 points Actual points: 11 (+5 points) Sheffield United W 1.9-0.5 Arsenal L 1.0-2.0 Brentford L 0.8-1.0 Wolves W 2.1-1.2 Aston Villa L 1.2-3.0 Fulham L 0.3-0.6 Manchester United L 0.9-1.3

16) Fulham – 3 points Actual points: 8 (+5 points) Everton L 1.5-2.7 Brentford L 0.5-3.7 Arsenal L 0.6-3.2 Manchester City L 1.4-2.2 Luton L 1.0-1.1 Crystal Palace W 0.6-0.3 Chelsea L 1.1-1.7

17) Bournemouth – 3 points Actual points: 3 (level) West Ham W 1.3-1.1 Liverpool L 1.3-3.0 Tottenham L 0.7-2.1 Brentford L 2.1-2.9 Chelsea L 1.0-1.8 Brighton L 1.1-1.9 Arsenal L 0.6-3.4

18) Burnley – 3 points Actual points: 1 (-2 points) Manchester City L 0.3-1.9 Aston Villa L 0.7-2.5 Tottenham L 1.3-2.2 Nottingham Forest L 0.5-0.7 Manchester United W 1.1-1.0 Newcastle United L 0.6-3.2

19) Wolves – 1 point Actual points: 7 (+6 points) Manchester United D 2.2-2.2 Brighton L 2.1-2.2 Everton L 1.1-1.3 Crystal Palace L 1.2-2.1 Liverpool L 0.6-2.5 Luton L 0.6-2.1 Manchester City L 0.4-0.9

20) Sheffield United – 0 points Actual points: 1 (+1 point) Crystal Palace L 0.5-1.9 Nottingham Forest L 0.5-1.4 Manchester City L 0.7-3.5 Everton L 1.2-2.5 Tottenham L 0.7-2.1 Newcastle United L 0.9-3.9 West Ham L 1.1-2.1