Chelsea remain only perfect team in the Premier League table that really matters

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Football365

·20 October 2023

Chelsea remain only perfect team in the Premier League table that really matters

Chelsea pair Cole Palmer and Levi Colwill.

Goals are great, but what’s even better than actual goals? Expected goals, obvs. And, according to xG, Chelsea are brilliant – they should’ve won every game this season.

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Here’s the full xG table, and some quick takeaways:

Chelsea need a striker.
Everton, having scored roughly half of their xG total, are the new Brighton. Toffees for the Champions League?
Luton should be snug around mid-table.
Man Utd are bang-average, whatever the metric, and getting worse.
Sheffield United are going down, even if they won their first xG battle.
Bournemouth will follow them.

1) Chelsea – 27 points Actual points: 12 (-15 points) Liverpool W 1.4-1.3 West Ham W 2.5-1.8 Luton W 2.2-0.4 Nottingham Forest W 2.3-0.8 Bournemouth W 1.8-1.0 Aston Villa W 1.3-1.0 Fulham W 1.7-1.1 Burnley W 1.9-0.7 Arsenal W 1.3-1.0

2) Manchester City – 25 points Actual points: 21 (-4 points) Burnley W 1.9-0.3 Newcastle United W 1.0-0.3 Sheffield United W 3.5-0.7 Fulham W 2.2-1.4 West Ham W 3.6-0.9 Nottingham Forest W 1.3-1.0 Wolves W 0.9-0.4 Arsenal W 0.5-0.4 Brighton D 0.8-0.8

3) Newcastle – 21 points Actual points: 16 (-5 points) Aston Villa W 3.3-1.8 Manchester City L 0.3-1.0 Liverpool W 2.0-0.9 Brighton L 1.2-1.3 Brentford W 1.4-0.5 Sheffield United W 3.9-0.9 Burnley W 3.2-0.6 West Ham W 2.0-1.2 Crystal Palace W 2.4-1.2

4) Brighton – 20 points Actual points: 16 (-4 points) Luton W 4.0-1.5 Wolves W 2.2-2.1 West Ham L 1.5-3.0 Newcastle United W 1.3-1.2 Manchester United W 1.7-1.0 Bournemouth W 1.9-1.1 Aston Villa W 1.7-1.6 Liverpool D 2.3-2.3 Man City D 0.8-0.8

5) Tottenham – 18 points Actual points: 23 (+5 points) Brentford L 1.3-2.2 Manchester United L 1.7-2.1 Bournemouth W 2.1-0.7 Burnley W 2.2-1.3 Sheffield United W 2.1-0.7 Arsenal L 1.4-1.8 Liverpool W 2.2-1.3 Luton W 1.9-0.8 Fulham W 1.5-1.0

6) Arsenal – 18 points Actual points: 21 (+3 points) Nottingham Forest L 0.8-1.2 Crystal Palace W 2.0-1.0 Fulham W 3.2-0.6 Manchester United W 2.3-0.9 Everton W 1.0-0.3 Tottenham W 1.8-1.4 Bournemouth W 3.4-0.6 Man City L 0.4-0.5 Chelsea L 1.0-1.3

7) Brentford – 18 points Actual points: 10 (-8 points) Tottenham W 2.2-1.3 Fulham W 3.7-0.5 Crystal Palace W 1.0-0.8 Bournemouth W 2.9-2.1 Newcastle United L 0.5-1.4 Everton L 1.0-1.9 Nottingham Forest W 1.6-0.5 Man Utd L 0.9-1.4 Burnley W 3.1-1.1

8) Everton – 18 points Actual points: 7 (-11 points) Fulham W 2.7-1.5 Aston Villa L 0.6-2.9 Wolves W 1.3-1.1 Sheffield United W 2.5-1.2 Arsenal L 0.3-1.0 Brentford W 1.9-1.0 Luton Town W 2.9-0.9 Bournemouth W 2.4-0.7 Liverpool L 0.1-2.2

9) Liverpool – 16 points Actual points: 20 (+4 points) Chelsea L 1.3-1.4 Bournemouth W 3.0-1.3 Newcastle United L 0.9-2.0 Aston Villa W 2.5-0.7 Wolves W 2.5-0.6 West Ham W 3.0-1.1 Tottenham L 1.3-2.2 Brighton D 2.3-2.3 Everton W 2.2-0.1

10) Aston Villa – 15 points Actual points: 19 (+4 points) Newcastle United L 1.8-3.3 Everton W 2.9-0.6 Burnley W 2.5-0.7 Liverpool L 0.7-2.5 Crystal Palace W 3.0-1.2 Chelsea L 1.0-1.3 Brighton L 1.6-1.7 Wolves W 1.7-1.6 West Ham W 1.9-1.1

11) Nottingham Forest – 15 points Actual points: 10 (-5 points) Arsenal W 1.2-0.8 Sheffield United W 1.4-0.5 Manchester United L 1.2-2.8 Chelsea L 0.8-2.3 Burnley W 0.7-0.5 Manchester City L 1.0-1.3 Brentford L 0.5-1.6 Crystal Palace W 1.0-0.8 Luton W 2.9-1.7

12) Manchester United – 13 points Actual points: 15 (+2 points) Wolves D 2.2-2.2 Tottenham W 2.1-1.7 Nottingham Forest W 2.8-1.2 Arsenal L 0.9-2.3 Brighton L 1.0-1.7 Burnley L 1.0-1.1 Crystal Palace W 1.3-0.9 Brentford W 1.9-0.4 Sheffield United L 1.1-1.4

13) Luton – 12 points Actual points: 4 (-8 points) Brighton L 1.5-4.0 Chelsea L 0.4-2.2 West Ham W 1.4-1.0 Fulham W 1.1-1.0 Wolves W 2.1-0.6 Everton L 0.9-2.9 Burnley W 1.3-1.1 Tottenham L 0.8-1.9 Nottingham Forest L 1.7-2.9

14) West Ham – 6 points Actual points: 14 (+8 points) Bournemouth L 1.1-1.3 Chelsea L 1.8-2.5 Brighton W 3.0-1.5 Luton L 1.0-1.4 Manchester City L 0.9-3.6 Liverpool L 1.1-3.0 Sheffield United W 2.1-1.1 Newcastle L 1.2-2.0 Aston Villa L 1.1-1.9

15) Crystal Palace – 6 points Actual points: 12 (+6 points) Sheffield United W 1.9-0.5 Arsenal L 1.0-2.0 Brentford L 0.8-1.0 Wolves W 2.1-1.2 Aston Villa L 1.2-3.0 Fulham L 0.3-0.6 Manchester United L 0.9-1.3 Nottingham Forest L 0.8-1.0 Newcastle L 1.2-2.4

16) Fulham – 6 points Actual points: 11 (+5 points) Everton L 1.5-2.7 Brentford L 0.5-3.7 Arsenal L 0.6-3.2 Manchester City L 1.4-2.2 Luton L 1.0-1.1 Crystal Palace W 0.6-0.3 Chelsea L 1.1-1.7 Sheffield United W 2.2-0.6 Tottenham L 1.5-1.0

17) Wolves – 4 points Actual points: 11 (+7 points) Manchester United D 2.2-2.2 Brighton L 2.1-2.2 Everton L 1.1-1.3 Crystal Palace L 1.2-2.1 Liverpool L 0.6-2.5 Luton L 0.6-2.1 Manchester City L 0.4-0.9 Aston Villa L 1.6-1.7 Bournemouth W 2.4-0.6

18) Burnley – 3 points Actual points: 4 (+1 point) Manchester City L 0.3-1.9 Aston Villa L 0.7-2.5 Tottenham L 1.3-2.2 Nottingham Forest L 0.5-0.7 Manchester United W 1.1-1.0 Newcastle United L 0.6-3.2 Luton L 1.1-1.3 Chelsea L 0.7-1.9 Brentford L 1.1-3.1

19) Bournemouth – 3 points Actual points: 3 (level) West Ham W 1.3-1.1 Liverpool L 1.3-3.0 Tottenham L 0.7-2.1 Brentford L 2.1-2.9 Chelsea L 1.0-1.8 Brighton L 1.1-1.9 Arsenal L 0.6-3.4 Everton L 0.7-2.4 Wolves L 0.6-2.4

20) Sheffield United – 3 points Actual points: 1 (-2 points) Crystal Palace L 0.5-1.9 Nottingham Forest L 0.5-1.4 Manchester City L 0.7-3.5 Everton L 1.2-2.5 Tottenham L 0.7-2.1 Newcastle United L 0.9-3.9 West Ham L 1.1-2.1 Fulham L 0.6-2.2 Man Utd W 1.4-1.1