Turkey and the USA meet in the third round of the World Cup 2026 group stage. The match takes place this Friday, 26 June at 3 AM (BST), at the SoFi Stadium.
The two nations enter this game in contrasting form. Turkey have already been eliminated after failing to score in their opening two matches, while the co-hosts have won both of theirs. Our betting tips for Turkey vs. USA will look at whether the home side can maintain their perfect start against a team with only pride to play for.
Keep reading to discover our betting tips and analysis for this exciting encounter.
Turkey vs. USA - Head-to-head record
The historical record between Turkey and USA includes 5 matches. USA won two, Turkey won two, and one was drawn.
Their most recent encounter was a friendly in June 2025, where Turkey secured a 2-1 victory. While this Turkey vs. USA fixture was close, its non-competitive nature offers limited insight into performance when stakes are high.
However, this World Cup encounter will mark a significant new chapter, as past results offer minimal guidance for their first truly meaningful contest.
Turkey - A disappointing World Cup
Turkey’s World Cup campaign has unfortunately come to an early end after two defeats. In the following sections, we will take a closer look at their recent performances, analysing why they’ve struggled to find the back of the net. We will also examine their tactical approach and preview the expected Turkey vs. USA line-ups for this final group stage match.
Recent form
Turkey’s World Cup 2026 journey has been a story of frustration, ending prematurely after just two matches. They fell to a 2-0 defeat against Australia in their opener, followed by a narrow 1-0 loss to Paraguay. Despite creating numerous opportunities, their campaign has been defined by a shocking inability to score.
Across their two group stage games, Vincenzo Montella’s side has taken an incredible 62 shots without finding the back of the net once. This lack of a clinical edge is a stark contrast to their form before the tournament, where they secured wins in friendlies against Venezuela and FYR Macedonia, showcasing their potential.
With elimination confirmed, Turkey now only has pride to play for in this final match. Key players like Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Arda Güler have yet to register a goal or assist, and with Akgun’s presence being questionable. The team’s challenge will be to finally convert their chances and end a disappointing tournament on a high note.
Results of the last five matches
Probable line-up for Turkey
Gunok; Müldür, Demiral, Kadıoğlu, Kabak; Uzun, Özcan, Çalhanoğlu, Yıldız, Güler; Gül.
Manager: Vincenzo Montella.
USA - Riding a wave of momentum
Let’s look at the USA’s current situation. We will analyse their momentum, expectations, and key performers for the upcoming match against Turkey.
Recent form
The USA comes into this final group match in fantastic form, having secured maximum points from their opening two World Cup games. They began their campaign with a commanding 4-1 victory over Paraguay and followed it with a solid 2-0 win against Australia. Scoring six goals while conceding only one shows they are firing on all cylinders.
This impressive tournament run contrasts with some of their pre-tournament friendly results, which included losses to strong European teams like Germany and Belgium. However, playing on home soil has clearly provided a major boost, and their current momentum is sky-high. They are now in an excellent position to top the group with another positive result.
Attacker Folarin Balogun has been a standout performer, finding the back of the net twice in the first two matches. The team has also shown it can be a threat from all areas, with defender A. Freeman contributing a goal and an assist. The squad status is almost complete, with only Roldan likely to miss the match.
Results of the last five matches
Probable line-up for USA
Turner; Arfsten, Trusty, McKenzie, Scally; Weah, Zendejas, Reyna, Berhalter, Tillman; Wright.
Manager: Mauricio Pochettino.
Turkey vs. USA - Stats
- The USA have been prolific in this tournament, scoring an average of 3.0 goals per game.
- Turkey have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match and are yet to score.
- From their last 21 matches, the USA have emerged victorious on 12 occasions.
- Turkey have a slightly better record over the same period, with 14 wins from 21 games.
- Folarin Balogun has been the standout performer for the USA, with two goals so far.
- Turkey’s key playmakers, Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Arda Güler, have no goals or assists.
Predictions for Turkey vs. USA - USA to continue winning run
Turkey"s World Cup has been defined by frustration, taking 62 shots without scoring. Desperate to find the net, they may play an open game, which could lead to a match with “Over 2.5 goals".
The USA, in contrast, is riding a wave of momentum after two convincing wins. Their attack is in fine form, so it would be no surprise to see them get on the scoresheet early, with “Over 0.5 goals" in the first half.
Given the hosts" strong start and Turkey"s confirmed elimination, everything points towards a home victory. Therefore, our main prediction is for the USA to win the match and maintain their perfect record in the group stage.
| Turkey x USA | ||
| Tip | Tip | Best Odd |
| Double Chance | Over 2.5 goals in total | 1.30 at BetMGM |
| Over/Under | Over 0.5 goals in the first half | 1.30 at BetMGM |
The odds mentioned were collected at the time of writing this prediction and are subject to change. Always check the bookmaker"s site for up-to-date information.
Best markets to bet on Turkey vs. USA
Discover additional betting tips for this Turkey vs. USA fixture, providing more options for your wagers.
🔥 Half-Time Result: USA - 2.50 at BetMGM
The USA typically starts matches with intensity and faces a Turkish side lacking confidence. The hosts will aim to control the game from the start, making a half-time lead a likely outcome.
🔥 Asian Handicap: USA -0.75 - 1.21 at BetMGM
Given the USA"s strong attack and Turkey"s struggles, a decisive victory for the Americans is anticipated. This market offers a good choice if you expect the co-hosts to win by at least one goal.
Where to watch Turkey vs. USA?
Here is where to watch Turkey vs. USA:
- TV: ITV 1 (Gbr), ITV X (Gbr), STV (Gbr), STV Player (Gbr), UTV (Gbr)
- Streaming: BBC Radio 5 Live Extra (Gbr), BBC Radio 5 Live (Gbr)
Turkey vs. USA - Match details
Check out the match details:
- Match: Turkey vs. USA
- Competition: World Cup 2026
- Date: 26/06/2026
- Kick-off: 3 AM (BST)
- Venue: SoFi Stadium, United States
- Broadcast: BBC Radio 5 Live Extra (Gbr), ITV 1 (Gbr), ITV X (Gbr), STV (Gbr), STV Player (Gbr), UTV (Gbr), BBC Radio 5 Live (Gbr)
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