Tunisia vs Netherlands – Prediction, where to watch, kick-off time and line-ups 25-06

Tunisia and the Netherlands meet for the third and final round of the World Cup 2026 group stage. The match takes place this Friday, 26 June at Midnight (BST), at the Arrowhead Stadium in the United States.

The two nations come into this game in contrasting form. While the Netherlands are looking to secure their spot in the next round after a convincing win, Tunisia have already been eliminated following two heavy defeats. Our Tunisia vs. Netherlands prediction anticipates a dynamic encounter.

Keep reading to discover our betting tips and analysis for this exciting Tunisia vs. Netherlands encounter.

Tunisia vs. Netherlands - Head-to-head record

The history between Tunisia and the Netherlands is not extensive, but it offers some interesting insights. The two nations have faced each other on two previous occasions, providing a small but relevant sample size for analysis of this international matchup.

Across these encounters, no team holds the sway as both fixtures ended in a draw.

A crucial detail from their past meetings is the location. All previous games took place on Tunisian soil, while the upcoming game will be played in a neutral location.

Tunisia - Playing for pride alone

Here we will take a closer look at Tunisia’s current situation, highlighting the team’s recent form and tactical setup. We will also analyse the expected Tunisia vs. Netherlands line-ups for this final group stage match, as the team looks to salvage some pride from a difficult tournament.

Recent form

Tunisia’s World Cup 2026 campaign has been a complete disaster, entering this final group game already eliminated. The team suffered two heavy defeats, starting with a 5-1 loss against Sweden. This was followed by a 4-0 thrashing by Japan, confirming their exit from the tournament.

These results at the World Cup mean they have conceded nine goals while only managing to find the net once. This poor run of form extends beyond the current competition, as Tunisia have won just eight of their last 21 matches overall. With only pride on the line, their performance will depend heavily on their mindset.

Despite their struggles, the team has a full squad to choose from with no new injury concerns. Midfielder Hannibal Mejbri will be the main creative force, trying to unlock the opposition’s defence. The pressure is off, which could allow them to play with more freedom, but they face a formidable opponent.

Results of the last five matches

Probable line-up for Tunisia

Dahmen; Rekik, Talbi, Bronn; Slimane, Abdi, Mejbri, Skhiri, Khedira, Valery; Tounekti.

Manager: Hervé Renard.

Netherlands - Full of attacking confidence

Let’s take a look at the Netherlands’ current situation. We will analyse their recent form, key players, and what to expect from them in this match.

Recent form

The Netherlands come into this final group match in a commanding position, having secured four points from their opening two games. They began their World Cup journey with a hard-fought 2-2 draw against Japan, before putting on an attacking masterclass to defeat Sweden 5-1. This impressive result has placed them firmly at the top of the group standings.

The Dutch attacking unit has been in formidable form, scoring seven goals so far in the tournament. Liverpool forward Cody Gakpo has been a standout performer, contributing two goals and an assist. The attack is further bolstered by players like Brian Brobbey and Crysencio Summerville, who have also been on the scoresheet.

Defensively, the team is marshalled by the experienced Virgil van Dijk, providing a solid foundation. However, they will have to manage without midfielder Quinten Timber, who is sidelined with a concussion. His absence could be felt in the middle, but the team’s overall quality should be enough to see them through.

Results of the last five matches

Probable line-up for Netherlands

Verbruggen; van Dijk, van de Ven, van Hecke, Dumfries; Reijnders, Gravenberch, de Jong; Summerville, Gakpo, Brobbey.

Manager: Ronald Koeman.

Tunisia vs. Netherlands - Stats

• Tunisia have lost their last four matches in all competitions.
• The Netherlands are unbeaten in the World Cup, scoring seven goals in two games.
• The Eagles of Carthage have failed to find the back of the net in three of their last four outings.
• Netherlands: Cody Gakpo has contributed to three goals in two tournament games, with two goals and one assist.
• Tunisia: Defender Omar Rekik is the team’s only goalscorer in this World Cup, with one goal.

Predictions for Tunisia vs. Netherlands - Dutch to dominate

The Netherlands enter this match in formidable form, having scored seven goals in two games. Tunisia, already eliminated after conceding nine, will struggle against the Dutch attack, making a comfortable win for the Netherlands with a “-1.5 handicap" a strong possibility.

Given Tunisia"s defensive frailties and low morale, the Dutch are expected to assert their dominance from the start. Ronald Koeman"s side will likely aim to control the game early, so there is a high chance the Netherlands will be winning at half-time.

Considering the huge gap in form and confidence between the two sides, our main prediction is for the Netherlands to overpower their opponents. Therefore, we are backing the Netherlands to win with a “-2.5 Asian Handicap", expecting a one-sided affair.

Tunisia x Netherlands
Tip	Tip	Best Odd
Asian Handicap	Netherlands to win with a -1.5 handicap	at BetMGM
Money Line	Netherlands to win the first half	1.40 at BetMGM

The odds mentioned were collected at the time of writing this prediction and are subject to change. Always check the bookmaker"s site for up-to-date information.

Best markets to bet on Tunisia vs. Netherlands

For more betting ideas on the Tunisia vs. Netherlands clash, check out our additional tips below.

🔥 Game & Goals: 12 and Over 3.5 - 0.00 at BetMGM

The Netherlands have been prolific, scoring seven goals in two games, while Tunisia has conceded nine. This points towards a high-scoring affair that is unlikely to end in a draw.

🔥 Corners: Netherlands - 1.16 at BetMGM

With the Dutch expected to dominate possession and constantly attack, they will likely force numerous corners. This makes them strong favourites in the corner market for this match.

Where to watch Tunisia vs. Netherlands?

Here’s where to watch Tunisia vs. Netherlands live:

• TV: BBC Sport (Gbr), BBC One (Gbr), BBC RED Button (Gbr)
• Streaming: BBC Radio 5 Live Extra (Gbr), BBC Radio 5 Live (Gbr), BBC iPlayer (Gbr), BBC Sport app (Gbr)

Tunisia vs. Netherlands - Match details

Check out the match details:

• Match: Tunisia vs. Netherlands
• Competition: World Cup 2026
• Date: 26/06/2026
• Kick-off: Midnight (BST)
• Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, United States
• Broadcast:
• BBC RED Button (Gbr), BBC Sport app (Gbr), BBC Sport (Gbr), BBC iPlayer (Gbr),  BBC One (Gbr), BBC Radio 5 Live Extra (Gbr), BBC Radio 5 Live (Gbr)

Enjoyed our betting analysis? Share it with your friends and check out more of our predictions on the site.