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Written by: Marko Zdravkovic
Updated: 
18/06/2026
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Published
18/06/2026

Mexico vs South Korea – Prediction, where to watch, kick-off time and line-ups 19-06

Mexico and South Korea face off in the second round of the World Cup 2026 group stage. The match takes place this Friday 19 June at 2 AM (BST), at the Estadio AKRON in Zapopan.

Both nations will be looking to build on victories in their opening games, with Mexico having overcome South Africa and South Korea staging a comeback to beat the Czech Republic. This betting tip for Mexico vs. South Korea points to a tight contest, with the winner taking a big step towards the knockout stages.

Prediction
Mexico to win
Bonus £40 in Free Bets
1.97

Mexico vs. South Korea - Head-to-head record

Mexico holds a clear historical advantage over South Korea, winning four of their nine official matches. South Korea has secured three victories, with two encounters ending in a draw. This long-standing dominance gives Mexico a psychological edge for their World Cup clash.

This trend is reinforced by recent results, as Mexico remains undefeated in their last three meetings. These include a 2-1 victory in the 2018 World Cup group stage, a 3-2 friendly win in 2020, and a 2-2 draw in 2025. The recent history in the Mexico vs. South Korea fixture clearly favours the North American side.

Interestingly, home advantage has played a minimal role. Both teams show identical records when playing at home or away against each other. This unusual statistic suggests the venue has little influence on the outcome, promising an unpredictable contest regardless of location.

Mexico - Riding a wave of confidence

Let’s take a closer look at Mexico’s current situation as they prepare for their second group stage match. We will explore their impressive run of form, recent results, and tactical approach for this game.

Recent form

Mexico comes into this second group stage match in excellent form, enjoying an impressive nine-game unbeaten run. During this period, they have secured seven victories and two draws, building significant momentum. Their World Cup campaign started perfectly with a confident 2-0 win over South Africa at home.

That opening victory showcased their attacking strengths, with both Julián Quiñones and Raúl Jiménez getting on the scoresheet. This result has put them in a strong position in the group, and another win here would be a giant leap towards the knockout phase. The team demonstrated both solid defensive work and clinical finishing.

This team won’t have Montes among the starting 11, due to a suspension. But since all the other players are there, we count on El Tricolor’s stability for the Mexico vs. South Korea game.

Results of the last five matches

Date
Result
11/Jun/2026
Mexico
Mex
2
X
0
South Africa
Sou
Win
W
05/Jun/2026
Mexico
Mex
5
X
1
Serbia
Ser
Win
W
31/May/2026
Mexico
Mex
1
X
0
Australia
Aus
Win
W
23/May/2026
Mexico
Mex
2
X
0
Ghana
Gha
Win
W
01/Apr/2026
Mexico
Mex
1
X
1
Belgium
Bel
Draw
D

Probable line-up for Mexico

R. Rangel; E. Álvarez, I. Reyes, J. Gallardo, J. Vásquez; E.Lira, Á. Fidalgo; J.Quiñones, R. Alvarado, G. Mora; R. Jiménez.

Manager: Javier Aguirre.

South Korea - Confident after opening win

Let’s analyse South Korea’s current momentum. We will review their recent matches, overall form, and the key players who could be decisive against Mexico.

Recent form

South Korea kicked off their World Cup campaign with a display of pure resilience, staging a comeback to defeat the Czech Republic 2-1. After falling behind, they turned the game around thanks to an inspired performance from Hwang In-beom, who scored the equaliser and then assisted the winner for substitute Oh Hyeon-gyu. That victory has given them a massive confidence boost.

Their form leading into the tournament was somewhat inconsistent, mixing comfortable friendly wins against El Salvador and Trinidad and Tobago with heavy defeats to Ivory Coast and a minimal loss to Austria. This suggests that while they have the quality to win games, they can also be vulnerable defensively. However, winning their opening World Cup match shows they can perform when it matters most.

Cho Yu-min will miss this match on the South Korean side. While captain Son Heung-min remains their star player, the creativity of Lee Kang-in and the decisive contribution of Hwang In-beom against the Czechs demonstrate they have multiple threats across the pitch. Their collective strength will be vital here.

Results of the last five matches

Date
Result
12/Jun/2026
South Korea
Sou
2
X
1
Czechia
Cze
Win
W
04/Jun/2026
South Korea
Sou
1
X
0
El Salvador
El
Win
W
31/May/2026
South Korea
Sou
5
X
0
Trinidad and Tobago
Tri
Win
W
31/Mar/2026
Austria
Aus
1
X
0
South Korea
Sou
Loss
L
28/Mar/2026
South Korea
Sou
0
X
4
Ivory Coast
Ivo
Loss
L

Probable line-up for South Korea

K. Seung-gyu; K. Min-jae, L. Gi-hyuk, L. Han-beom; H. In-beom, L. Tae-seok, P. Seung-ho, S. Young-woo, L. Jae-sung, L. Kang-in; S. Heung-min.

Manager: Hong Myung-bo.

Mexico vs. South Korea - Stats

  • In their last 21 matches, Mexico have recorded 12 wins and have only lost twice.
  • Over the same number of games, South Korea have secured 13 victories and suffered four defeats.
  • Mexico’s Julián Quiñones and Raúl Jiménez were both on the scoresheet in their opening World Cup fixture.
  • South Korea’s Hwang In-beom was directly involved in both goals against the Czech Republic, scoring one and assisting the other.
  • Substitute Oh Hyeon-gyu came off the bench to score the winning goal for South Korea in their first game.

Predictions for Mexico vs. South Korea - Hosts to claim victory

Mexico enters this match on a high, backed by a nine-game unbeaten streak and home advantage. Given both teams" attacking displays in their opening games, we could see a winner and over 2.5 goals.

South Korea showed great character in their comeback win, but they face a historically superior opponent. A “Mexico or Draw" double chance seems a solid bet, considering Mexico"s unbeaten record in recent head-to-head encounters.

Considering Mexico"s excellent form, historical dominance, and home support, our main prediction is a victory for the hosts. We expect them to control the game and secure three crucial points towards the knockout stage.

Mexico x South Korea
Tip Tip Best Odd
Double Chance & Over/Under A winner and over 2.5 total goals at BetMGM
Double Chance Mexico or Draw on the "Double Chance" market 1.22 at BetMGM

The odds mentioned were collected at the time of writing this prediction and are subject to change. Always check the bookmaker"s site for up-to-date information.

Best markets to bet on Mexico vs. South Korea

Discover additional betting tips for this exciting Mexico vs. South Korea encounter. We focus on two bets related to the expected first-half action.

🔥 Goals - Over/Under - Half Time: +0.5 - 1.47 at BetMGM


Both teams demonstrate scoring ability and will seek an early advantage. Consequently, a first-half goal is a plausible scenario for Mexico vs. South Korea.

🔥 Game - Double Chance - Half Time: 12 - 1.67 at BetMGM


As both sides push for a crucial win, a cautious opening half appears improbable. Therefore, a halftime draw is less likely, offering value in this market.

Where to watch Mexico vs. South Korea?

Here is where to watch Mexico vs. South Korea live:

  • TV: BBC One UK, BBC Sport (GBR), BBC Two (GBR)
  • Streaming: BBC iPlayer (GBR), BBC Radio 5 Live (GBR) 

 

 

Mexico vs. South Korea - Match details

Check out the match details:

  • Match: Mexico vs. South Korea
  • Competition: World Cup 2026
  • Date: 19/06/2026
  • Kick-off: 2 AM (BST)
  • Venue: Estadio AKRON, Zapopan, Mexico
  • Broadcast: BBC iPlayer, BBC One UK, BBC Sport Web, BBC Sport (GBR), BBC Two (GBR), BBC Radio 5 Live (GBR)

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