Canada vs Morocco – Prediction, where to watch, kick-off time and line-ups 04-07

Canada and Morocco face off in the round of 16 of the World Cup 2026. The match takes place this Saturday, 04 July, at 6 PM (BST) at NRG Stadium in the United States.

Morocco will be looking to repeat their victory over the North Americans from the 2022 tournament. However, Canada enters the match in strong form and will be looking to perform strongly after their previous encounter. This Canada vs. Morocco prediction points to a closely contested knockout game.

Canada vs. Morocco - Head-to-head record

Canada and Morocco have a short history on the pitch, having met only twice.

Their most recent game was during the 2022 World Cup group stage in Qatar. Morocco secured a 2-1 victory, which contributed to their memorable tournament run. Also, Morocco won 4-0 in 2016 in a friendly game. This means Morocco currently leads the Canada vs. Morocco fixture with two  wins.

With just two matches, one of which was a friendly duel, the Canada vs. Morocco stats offer limited historical data for analysis. This upcoming knockout game presents a different challenge compared to their earlier group stage clash. Canada has an opportunity to get revenge, while Morocco seeks to maintain their perfect record against the North Americans.

Canada - Looking to continue their run

Let’s take a closer look at Canada’s journey to the round of 16. In the following sections, we will analyse their current form, recent results, and tactical approach.

Recent form

Canada has shown impressive form to reach the World Cup’s round of 16. They successfully navigated the group stage with two wins and only a single loss across their three matches so far. Their campaign has been highlighted by an emphatic 6-0 victory against Qatar, showcasing their offensive capabilities.

Throughout the tournament, the Canadians have demonstrated a balanced approach, scoring nine goals while conceding just three. Attacker Jonathan David has been the main man in front of goal, finding the back of the net three times in four appearances. This attacking threat is built on a foundation of solid defensive organisation, making them a difficult team to break down.

Coming into this match after a tense 1-0 victory over South Africa in their final group stage match, Canada carries valuable momentum. Injury information says that Kone and Flores are injured and won’t play.

Results of the last five matches

Probable line-up for Canada

Crépeau; Laryea, Bombito, Cornelius, Johnston; Buchanan, Saliba, Davies, Eustáquio; Oluwaseyi, David.

Manager: Jesse Marsch.

Morocco - Enjoying an unbeaten run

Let’s take a closer look at Morocco’s current situation. We’ll delve into their impressive form, recent results, and the standout performers for this encounter.

Recent form

Morocco enters the World Cup knockout stage with an impressive 33-match unbeaten streak across all competitions. They finished the group stage undefeated, securing victories against Haiti and Scotland, alongside a hard-fought 1-1 draw with Brazil. This strong run demonstrates their resilience and ability to compete against top-tier opposition.

Their success is built on a solid defensive foundation, conceding just three goals in the group stage while finding the back of the net six times. Midfielder Ismael Saibari has been a key goal threat, scoring three times in four appearances. The creative spark often comes from Brahim Diaz, who has contributed two assists in the tournament.

The Moroccans advanced to this round after an undefeated group stage, which included a penalty shootout where they beat the Dutch 3-2, showcasing their composure under pressure. A significant advantage is the absence of any injured or suspended players, allowing them to field their strongest possible line-up. This is an excellent team, but the absence of Ezzalzouli and Aguerd may affect the Atlas Lions’ performance.

Results of the last five matches

Probable line-up for Morocco

Bounou; Mazraoui, Diop, Riad, Hakimi; Ounahi, Diaz, Bouadi, El Khannouss, El Aynaoui; Saibari.

Manager: Mohamed Ouahbi.

Canada vs. Morocco - Stats

• Morocco are unbeaten in their last 33 matches across all competitions.
• Canada have only lost one of their previous ten games.
• The Canadians have scored an average of 2.25 goals per match in the World Cup.
• The Moroccans have averaged 2 goals scored per game in the tournament.
• Canada: Cyle Larin has found the back of the net twice in three appearances.
• Morocco: Defender Achraf Hakimi has one goal and one assist in the competition.

Predictions for Canada vs. Morocco - Atlas Lions to Prevail

Morocco arrives with an incredible 33-match unbeaten streak, making them a formidable opponent. While Canada has shown offensive flair, the pressure of a knockout match suggests a cautious start, meaning the first half could finish with under 1.5 goals.

Both sides have been defensively solid, each conceding only three goals in the tournament. This points towards a tactical battle where neither team will want to risk much early on, making a draw at halftime a very realistic possibility in this tight encounter.

Considering Morocco"s outstanding unbeaten run and their victory in the 2022 head-to-head, they appear to have the edge. Our main prediction is for Morocco to win on the “-0.25 Asian Handicap" market, which provides a layer of security.

Canada x Morocco
Tip	Tip	Best Odd
Over/Under	Under 1.5 goals in the first half	at BetMGM
Money Line	Draw at Halftime	at BetMGM

The odds mentioned were collected at the time of writing this prediction and are subject to change. Always check the bookmaker"s site for up-to-date information.

Best markets to bet on Canada vs. Morocco

Discover more recommended bets on Canada vs. Morocco for this exciting encounter.

🔥 Double Chance: Canada or Morocco - 0.00 at BetMGM

Since this is a knockout game, both teams will aim for a decisive result within 90 minutes to avoid extra time. This makes a draw a less probable outcome for the Canada vs. Morocco encounter.

🔥 Both Teams to Score in First Half: No - 0.00 at BetMGM

The high stakes suggest a cautious and tactical start from both sides. It is therefore unlikely that both teams will score in the first half.

Where to watch Canada vs. Morocco?

Here is where to watch Canada vs. Morocco live:

• TV: UTV (Gbr),  ITV 1 (Gbr), STV (Gbr), ITV X (Gbr)
• Streaming: STV Player (Gbr), BBC Radio 5 Live (Gbr)

Canada vs. Morocco - Match details

Check out the match details:

• Match: Canada vs. Morocco
• Competition: World Cup 2026
• Date: 04/07/2026
• Kick-off: 6 PM (BST)
• Venue: NRG Stadium, United States
• Broadcast: BBC Radio 5 Live (Gbr), ITV 1 (Gbr), ITV X (Gbr), STV (Gbr), STV Player (Gbr), UTV (Gbr)

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