90min
·7. März 2025
Supercomputer predicts Champions League winner after last 16 first legs

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Yahoo sports90min
·7. März 2025
The first legs of all eight Champions League last 16 ties have offered a solid indication of which teams will be contesting the quarter-finals.
Only Borussia Dortmund vs Lille failed to find winner as seven clubs edged closer to the last eight, with away victories putting all three English competitors in pole position to progress.
Some sides may already be casting a cautious eye beyond next week's second leg, perhaps planning their potential route to the showpiece event.
Here's who Opta believe will lift the Champions League trophy following the drama of the last 16 first legs.
Barcelona are among the favourites / Gualter Fatia/GettyImages
Following their smash-and-grab 1-0 win over Paris Saint-Germain on Wednesday evening, Liverpool are considered favourites to win the Champions League this season. The Reds have been given a 26% chance of getting their hands on the trophy but must first navigate a challenging second leg against PSG at Anfield. The French side's unfortunate defeat has left them with a measly 3.1% chance of triumphing.
Barcelona are considered the side most likely to challenge Liverpool for the crown. The ten-man Catalans narrowly beat Benfica 1-0 at the Estadio da Luz courtesy of Raphinha's strike, putting them in an excellent position to make the last eight. They have been given a likelihood of 17.3% in their title bid, while their Portuguese opposition have a mere 0.5% chance of glory.
Arsenal are given a 100% chance of making the quarter-finals after their 7-1 demolition of PSV Eindhoven, but that drops to 13.8% when it comes to winning the competition for the first time in their history. Inter are given greater odds of success after also beating Dutch opponents this week, with their 2-0 victory at Feyenoord offering them a 15.5% chance of Champions League glory.
Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid continue their bitter rivalry in the last 16 and the all-Spanish tie is still hanging in the balance. Los Blancos are considered favourites to qualify and win the whole thing (9.2%) following their 2-1 first leg victory, but Atleti can't be written off (2.2%) as they chase a first triumph. When it comes to the Champions League, Real Madrid are always a safe bet.
Bayern Munich have an 8% chance of winning the trophy in Vincent Kompany's debut campaign. Their 3-0 first leg win over Bayer Leverkusen has all but extinguished the dreams of Xabi Alonso's outfit, who now have just a 0.6% chance.
Aston Villa will face either Liverpool or PSG in the last eight and that is always likely to limit their odds. They managed an impressive 3-1 victory over the underappreciated Club Brugge during their first leg and Unai Emery's European pedigree will offer hope - even if Opta believe they have just a 1.6% chance of winning a second European Cup.
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