Aston Villa v Newcastle: Back Murphy to make his mark at 13/5 | OneFootball

English Premier League

Jason Tindall remains in charge at Newcastle for Saturday's trip to Aston Villa

Aston Villa entertain Newcastle on Saturday evening in a big match in the battle for Champions League qualification. Betfair writer Mark O'Haire is expecting an exciting affair at Villa Park...

Betfair Saturday Football Superboost

Two forwards in form are the focus of Saturday's Betfair football superboost. Manchester City's Marmoush will give Everton's defenders plenty to think about while West Ham's Jarrod Bowen should be be a handful for Southampton.

Between them Marmoush and Bowen have had 18 shots on target in their last five matches. The price on them each having one or more on Saturday has been boosted from 1/2 to 1/1.

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Aston Villa v NewcastleSaturday April 5, 17:30

Emery proud of Aston Villa players

Aston Villa chief Unai Emery outlined how "proud" he was of his players following their performance against Paris Saint-Germain in midweek despite their Champions League quarter-final exit. He immediately set his stall out for the remainder of the campaign - to guide Villa back to Europe's leading club competition by finishing in the top-five of the Premier League.

Emery said, "I am very proud of everything we did. To get to this level is the best step forward to get to where I want to be at with Aston Villa. It is now most important to get Europe again. The most important competition is the Champions League. The challenge we have for the last six matches is to try and get Europe and the Champions League."

With a quick turnaround ahead of Saturday evening's showdown, Emery is expected to shuffle his pack. Ollie Watkins is in-line for a recall to the starting line-up. Marco Asensio, Jacob Ramsey and Tyrone Mings will all be hoping to be involved from the off with Axel Disasi and Ian Maatsen also in the frame for a start with Villa boasting a fully fit squad to select from.

Newcastle charge into third

Newcastle scored four times in the first-half as they hammered Crystal Palace 5-0 on Wednesday night to move into third-place in the Premier League. Assistant head coach Jason Tindal took charge once again while head coach Eddie Howe continues to recover from pneumonia with the stand-in boss effusive in his praise for the players post-match.

Speaking post-match, Tindall said: "We spoke pre-game about keeping the intensity and the attitude we showed against Man Utd, and we wanted to deliver a similar performance. I felt they did that, if not bettered that. Full credit to the lads for delivering the two performances they have, but don't stop there. We have six cup finals remaining. We have to be consistent."

The Magpies named the same starting line-up for the sixth successive match, though Tindall may look to freshen up his team for the quick turnaround and trip to Aston Villa. Anthony Gordon and Joe Willock could be called upon, though Newcastle are still missing the services of Sven Botman, Lewis Hall and Jamaal Lascelles with the injured trio out for the season.

Villa difficult to beat on home soil

Aston Villa have struggled in their most recent meetings with Newcastle, losing five of their last six head-to-head encounters in the Premier League (W1-D0-L5). The Magpies have managed three goals or more in four of those five victories, including a 3-1 success here last season. However, Villa's home record commands plenty of respect.

Aston Villa 2.44 have suffered only five defeats in 48 home Premier League or European games going back to the beginning of last term. That sample includes a solitary reverse in 22 such matches in 2024/25 as only Arsenal have escaped with maximum points. The hosts also come into this contest following an impressive W10-D0-L2 streak across all competitions.

Only Liverpool (35) and Arsenal (28) have won more away Premier League points this season than Newcastle (W8-D3-L5). The Mags are W8-D0-L2 in their past 10 away days across all competitions, only losing at the Etihad and Anfield, though the visitors have registered just a solitary success in nine trips to teams in 12th and above (W1-D3-L5).

Murphy to make his mark

Goals should be on the agenda at Villa Park. Both Teams To Score has banked in 13 of Aston Villa's 16 home encounters this term - the highest hit-rate in the division. Unai Emery's troops have kept a measly six clean sheets in their past 37 home EPL outings, which should encourage a Newcastle side that's scored in all bar three of their 16 road trips thus far.

With BTTS too short to support at 1.60, I'm eager to get in-form Jacob Murphy onside in the To Score Or Assist market at a bulbous 13/5. The Newcastle star has been directly involved in 17 goals across his past 18 Premier League games (eight goals, nine assists), whilst also having a hand in 13 goals in his last 17 away Premier League appearances.

The 13/5 shot has paid-out profit in 12 (67%) of Murphy's past 18 league starts, including half of his most recent 10 away days.

Recommended bets

Back Jacob Murphy To Score Or Assist @ 13/5

Ste Tudor’s Build Up Tips

Back Murphy to have more shots on target than Rogers

Arguably, Morgan Rogers has reserved his best performances this term for the Champions League with Villa’s scintillating victory over PSG midweek no exception.

The 22-year-old ran his socks off all evening, taking on three attempts on goal, and winning four ground duels for good measure. Like the rest of his Villa team-mates, he gave his heart and soul to the cause even if, ultimately, the win was to no avail.

Jacob Murphy meanwhile – Roger’s counterpart this coming weekend, both marauding down their respective right flanks – also impressed midweek.

Clearly relishing being part of an attacking trident that has put multiple goals past Leicester and Man United in recent weeks, Murphy tore into Crystal Palace from the off, opening the Magpies account early on with a stunning strike.

He then went on to produce a Player of the Match display, complete with three key passes, one of which was an assist.

Now you have to ask yourself, which of these two players are feeling better about themselves with a key clash awaiting at Villa Park.Rogers invested everything and then some into his team’s engrossing encounter with PSG but suffered only heartbreak for his troubles. He will psychologically be on the floor.

Murphy by comparison is flying, in the form of his life with six goal involvements in his last four league outings.

And we go back to Rogers being better on the continental stage. In that competition he has bagged four, carved out three assists and taken on a shot every 38 minutes. Whereas in the Premier League he has failed to post a single shot on target in five of his last seven starts.

Murphy has registered three SOT in three games, scoring from each. He has better numbers and is currently clinical. The Newcastle man is the one to back here.